I’ve written about fiscal gravity a few times on this blog (I even used this cartoon before). By “fiscal gravity,” I mean the unchangeable force ensuring two things: first, there’s a finite amount of tax revenue out there…raising tax rates won’t let you defy gravity. Second, you can’t engage in the unsustainable practice of spending more than you make…at least for very long.
California state government has been trying to defy fiscal gravity for years. Now it’s time to pay the piper, and as the Sacramento Bee’s Dan Walters illustrates, the state’s elected officials still don’t get it. (Hat tip to Fred for sending this my way!)
As the week began, a legislative committee heard state Treasurer Bill Lockyer describe, in blunt terms, why the state finds it increasingly difficult to market its bonds. Briefly, its budget is chronically unbalanced, it has floated too much debt, and it’s now forced to pay higher interest rates on its debts than many Third World nations.
Counterintuitively, state schools chief Jack O’Connell a day later urged the Legislature to approve a big new bond issue for school construction, followed quickly by a warning from economists at California Lutheran University that the state may have to default on some of its existing debt.
But it gets better. This nearly insolvent state is borrowing $10 billion dollars to fund the first 20% of work on a new bullet train that no private industry would ever undertake because it makes no economic sense whatsoever.
About a fifth of the nearly $50 billion in unsold state bonds would finance a proposed bullet train, but that $9.95 billion bond issue is less than a fourth of the train’s projected costs, a newly released “business plan” said.
The document raised project costs and lowered ridership estimates – but still insisted that it’s economically viable. However, ridership numbers still appear high, and the projected fare structure is based on airline fare data that don’t square with what airlines actually charge.
After noting that California is some $11 billion behind in repairing its existing roads and highways, Walters sums it up well.
Meanwhile, a commission that hands out stem cell research money from a $3 billion bond issue tripled the salary of its part-time vice chairman, former Democratic Party Chairman Art Torres, to $225,000.
…So we’re squandering our limited debt capacity on nonessential things such as stem cell research and bullet trains while our existing infrastructure is crumbling, demand from an increasing population grows, politicians’ credibility is almost nil, and bankers deservedly treat us like a Third World country.
I thought this is what we hired the last guy to fix? Something has got to change.
Is California’s state government fixable? What reforms do you think are the most critical ones to break the gridlock and get this problem solved once and for all?